Manchester United shots on target stats & bet builder picks

Premier League 2026/27 • Stats to 18 Oct 2026

Manchester United have averaged 5.3 shots on target per match over their last 10 games and conceded 4.1. On our numbers, the Manchester United players most likely to land at least one shot on target against an average opponent are B. Šeško (72% at home), B. Mbeumo (60% at home) and M. Rashford (56%).

PlayerPosLandedSOT/90HomeAway
B. ŠeškoFWD6/101.9772%66%
B. MbeumoMID10/101.3560%54%
J. Zirkzee (short sample)FWD3/41.1158%52%
M. RashfordMID5/101.4056%50%
Matheus CunhaMID7/101.0653%47%
M. MountFWD6/100.7149%43%
A. DialloMID7/100.8348%42%
Bruno FernandesMID6/100.7145%39%
Y. TielemansMID3/100.4334%29%
Andrey SantosMID3/100.3230%26%
C. BalebaMID3/100.3529%25%
Lisandro MartínezDEF3/100.3023%19%
K. MainooMID1/100.1121%18%
L. YoroDEF2/100.2018%15%

Landed: games with 1+ shot on target, out of his last ten of 60+ minutes (any club, any competition we track). SOT/90: shots on target per 90 minutes. Home / Away: our model's probability of 1+ shot on target against an average opponent; on match days it's adjusted for the actual opponent and used only for confirmed starters. Players with fewer than six qualifying games are marked as a short sample and are never used in our tips.

Our recent slips involving Manchester United

Sun 18 Oct · 14:00 · Premier LeagueAll 3 landed
Leeds v Manchester United
✓B. Mbeumo 10/10 recent games61%
✓D. Calvert-Lewin 8/10 recent games57%
✓Bruno Fernandes 6/10 recent games48%
Chance all three land: 17%Fair odds 5.79
Sat 10 Oct · 17:30 · Premier League1 of 3 landed
Manchester United v Tottenham
✗Matheus Cunha 8/10 recent games60%
✗Bruno Fernandes 7/10 recent games52%
✓B. Mbeumo 8/10 recent games48%
Chance all three land: 16%Fair odds 6.30

How we use these numbers

When Manchester United's line-up is confirmed, the model reprices every starter for the actual opponent — a side conceding lots of shots on target lifts the chances — and if the match makes the day's top three, the three most likely starters go out as a bet builder slip with its fair price. Full method →

Quick answers

Which Manchester United player is most likely to have a shot on target?

On our numbers, B. Šeško: a 72% chance of at least one shot on target at home and 66% away against an average opponent, having landed one in 6 of his last 10 games of an hour or more.

How many shots on target do Manchester United average?

Manchester United have averaged 5.3 shots on target per match over their last 10 games, and conceded 4.1 — against a league-wide average of 4.41 per team per match.

Other Premier League clubs

AFC BournemouthArsenalAston VillaBrentfordBrighton & Hove AlbionChelseaCoventry CityCrystal PalaceEvertonFulhamHull CityIpswich TownLeeds UnitedLiverpoolManchester CityNewcastle UnitedNottingham ForestSunderlandTottenham Hotspur

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