Chelsea shots on target stats & bet builder picks
Chelsea have averaged 5.7 shots on target per match over their last 10 games and conceded 5.4. On our numbers, the Chelsea players most likely to land at least one shot on target against an average opponent are D. Welbeck (66% at home), C. Palmer (64% at home) and João Pedro (58%).
| Player | Pos | Landed | SOT/90 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Welbeck | FWD | 8/10 | 1.62 | 66% | 59% |
| C. Palmer | FWD | 7/10 | 1.21 | 64% | 58% |
| João Pedro | FWD | 6/10 | 0.92 | 58% | 52% |
| Estêvão | MID | 6/10 | 0.91 | 47% | 41% |
| Pedro Neto | MID | 5/10 | 0.87 | 47% | 41% |
| Geovany Tcherno Quenda (short sample) | MID | 4/5 | 1.16 | 47% | 41% |
| M. Rogers | MID | 5/10 | 0.63 | 42% | 36% |
| V. Barco | MID | 4/10 | 0.60 | 42% | 36% |
| Jamie Gittens | MID | 4/8 | 0.72 | 41% | 35% |
| Reece James | MID | 4/10 | 0.52 | 38% | 33% |
| M. Palestra | MID | 4/10 | 0.41 | 35% | 30% |
| J. Henderson | MID | 1/10 | 0.22 | 26% | 22% |
| R. Lavia | MID | 2/10 | 0.25 | 24% | 21% |
| M. Caicedo | MID | 1/10 | 0.10 | 21% | 18% |
Landed: games with 1+ shot on target, out of his last ten of 60+ minutes (any club, any competition we track). SOT/90: shots on target per 90 minutes. Home / Away: our model's probability of 1+ shot on target against an average opponent; on match days it's adjusted for the actual opponent and used only for confirmed starters. Players with fewer than six qualifying games are marked as a short sample and are never used in our tips.
Our recent slips involving Chelsea
How we use these numbers
When Chelsea's line-up is confirmed, the model reprices every starter for the actual opponent — a side conceding lots of shots on target lifts the chances — and if the match makes the day's top three, the three most likely starters go out as a bet builder slip with its fair price. Full method →
Quick answers
Which Chelsea player is most likely to have a shot on target?
On our numbers, D. Welbeck: a 66% chance of at least one shot on target at home and 59% away against an average opponent, having landed one in 8 of his last 10 games of an hour or more.
How many shots on target do Chelsea average?
Chelsea have averaged 5.7 shots on target per match over their last 10 games, and conceded 5.4 — against a league-wide average of 4.41 per team per match.
Other Premier League clubs
Premier League bet builder tips →
Get Chelsea picks on match day
If the match makes the day's top three, subscribers get the slip 15–40 minutes before kick-off — and the best slip of each kick-off time goes free into our Telegram channel, up to three a day.
📱 Join the Free ChannelBet builders are a new feature and are not guaranteed: unlike our arbs, most slips lose, and our record shows it. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org