Premier League bet builder tips

New feature • Up to 3 free a day on Telegram • Updated 18 Oct 2026

The Premier League is where bet builders are most popular, and where bookmakers' prices are sharpest. Our picks here lean on the same data as everywhere else: confirmed starters, ten games of form, and the shots on target their opponent has been conceding.

Record so far: 1 of 11 slips landed all three legs, and 18 of 33 picks landed (55%, against 56% predicted).

Recent Premier League slips

Sun 18 Oct · 16:30 · Premier League0 of 3 landed
Nottingham Forest v Arsenal
✗K. Havertz 10/10 recent games57%
✗B. Saka 9/10 recent games55%
✗D. Ndoye 7/10 recent games55%
Chance all three land: 18%Fair odds 5.66
Sun 18 Oct · 14:00 · Premier League2 of 3 landed
Brighton v Crystal Palace
✓C. Kostoulas 7/10 recent games58%
✗P. Groß 7/10 recent games47%
✓Y. Ayari 5/10 recent games46%
Chance all three land: 14%Fair odds 7.30
Sun 18 Oct · 14:00 · Premier LeagueAll 3 landed
Leeds v Manchester United
✓B. Mbeumo 10/10 recent games61%
✓D. Calvert-Lewin 8/10 recent games57%
✓Bruno Fernandes 6/10 recent games48%
Chance all three land: 17%Fair odds 5.79
Sat 17 Oct · 17:30 · Premier League2 of 3 landed
Newcastle v Aston Villa
✓N. Jackson 8/10 recent games65%
✗M. Fernandez-Pardo 7/10 recent games63%
✓J. Manzambi 8/10 recent games57%
Chance all three land: 24%Fair odds 4.22
Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 · Premier League2 of 3 landed
Brentford v Liverpool
✓Víctor Muñoz 8/10 recent games55%
✓A. Isak 8/10 recent games54%
✗Thiago 5/10 recent games54%
Chance all three land: 16%Fair odds 6.17
Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 · Premier League1 of 3 landed
Manchester City v Ipswich
✓E. Haaland 9/10 recent games80%
✗J. Doku 5/10 recent games48%
✗J. Enciso 7/10 recent games46%
Chance all three land: 18%Fair odds 5.57

Most likely to land a shot on target right now

The Premier League players our model rates highest for 1+ shot on target against an average opponent, from their last ten games of an hour or more (stats to 18 Oct 2026).

PlayerClubLandedHomeAway
E. HaalandManchester City9/1076%70%
T. BarryEverton8/1072%66%
B. ŠeškoManchester United6/1072%66%
I. SarrCrystal Palace8/1069%63%
N. JacksonAston Villa8/1068%62%
T. AbrahamAston Villa6/866%60%
D. WelbeckChelsea8/1066%59%
C. PalmerChelsea7/1064%58%
Igor JesusNottingham Forest8/1063%57%
E. SimmsCoventry City6/1062%56%
RicharlisonTottenham Hotspur7/1062%56%
A. IsakLiverpool9/1061%55%
M. FofanaSunderland6/1061%55%
J. PhilogeneIpswich Town9/1061%54%
J. ManzambiAston Villa8/1060%54%

Premier League clubs

AFC BournemouthArsenalAston VillaBrentfordBrighton & Hove AlbionChelseaCoventry CityCrystal PalaceEvertonFulhamHull CityIpswich TownLeeds UnitedLiverpoolManchester CityManchester UnitedNewcastle UnitedNottingham ForestSunderlandTottenham Hotspur

How the picks are made

Line-ups first, then each starter's last ten games, adjusted for the opponent and venue, priced as one slip with a fair price attached. Read the full method →

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Up to three slips a day go free into our Telegram channel 15–40 minutes before kick-off, with each result after the final whistle. Subscribers get every slip.

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Bet builders are a new feature and are not guaranteed: unlike our arbs, most slips lose, and our record shows it. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 18+. BeGambleAware.org