Arsenal shots on target stats & bet builder picks
Arsenal have averaged 5.3 shots on target per match over their last 10 games and conceded 2.7. On our numbers, the Arsenal players most likely to land at least one shot on target against an average opponent are B. Saka (60% at home), K. Havertz (59% at home) and V. Gyökeres (59%).
| Player | Pos | Landed | SOT/90 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Saka | MID | 8/10 | 1.38 | 60% | 53% |
| K. Havertz | FWD | 9/10 | 1.12 | 59% | 53% |
| V. Gyökeres | FWD | 6/10 | 1.10 | 59% | 53% |
| M. Dowman (short sample) | MID | 3/5 | 1.85 | 58% | 51% |
| Bruno Guimarães | MID | 4/10 | 0.81 | 44% | 38% |
| M. Ødegaard | MID | 5/10 | 0.62 | 42% | 36% |
| E. Eze | MID | 3/10 | 0.71 | 40% | 35% |
| N. Madueke | MID | 5/10 | 0.75 | 40% | 34% |
| Mikel Merino | MID | 4/10 | 0.54 | 38% | 33% |
| J. Timber | DEF | 2/10 | 0.32 | 23% | 19% |
| R. Calafiori | DEF | 3/10 | 0.33 | 22% | 19% |
| M. Lewis-Skelly | MID | 1/10 | 0.11 | 21% | 17% |
| P. Hincapié | DEF | 2/10 | 0.20 | 18% | 15% |
| Gabriel Magalhães | DEF | 1/10 | 0.20 | 18% | 15% |
Landed: games with 1+ shot on target, out of his last ten of 60+ minutes (any club, any competition we track). SOT/90: shots on target per 90 minutes. Home / Away: our model's probability of 1+ shot on target against an average opponent; on match days it's adjusted for the actual opponent and used only for confirmed starters. Players with fewer than six qualifying games are marked as a short sample and are never used in our tips.
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How we use these numbers
When Arsenal's line-up is confirmed, the model reprices every starter for the actual opponent — a side conceding lots of shots on target lifts the chances — and if the match makes the day's top three, the three most likely starters go out as a bet builder slip with its fair price. Full method →
Quick answers
Which Arsenal player is most likely to have a shot on target?
On our numbers, B. Saka: a 60% chance of at least one shot on target at home and 53% away against an average opponent, having landed one in 8 of his last 10 games of an hour or more.
How many shots on target do Arsenal average?
Arsenal have averaged 5.3 shots on target per match over their last 10 games, and conceded 2.7 — against a league-wide average of 4.41 per team per match.
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